Charting the Strauss-Howe Generational Theory in 2017

Below is a chart (click it to zoom) that shows the seasonality of Anglo-American history since the end of the Middle Ages, according to the Strauss-Howe Generational Theory (as described in their 1997 book The Fourth Turning).

This chart is one of the most beautiful things I’ve seen in the social sciences (not the design, but the contents). Any effort to understand modern English and American history without this chart in mind is going to be hopelessly inadequate, similar to trying to understand the history of life without reference to the theory of evolution. In other words, the Strauss-Howe theory is probably indispensable, similar to the Standard Model of physics and the Theory of Evolution.

The blue-pink cross is my addition to the theory. Although The Fourth Turning does mention the seasonality of the rise and fall of feminism, it doesn’t take this to its logical conclusion, which is to propose a Masculinism-Feminism cycle that ticks in synchrony with the seasons of the saeculum.

Below is the inner circles zoomed in (for those who don’t want to click the above chart to zoom in):

The “saeculum” is the word that Strauss-Howe use for each circle of the chart above, four seasons together make one saeculum. A saeculum is generally the length of one human life time, and its regularity has been noted since ancient times. We are currently living at the end of the saeculum that started in 1943, and which will probably end sometime between 2025 and 2035.

Below is the part of the chart that is most relevant to 2017. Many world leaders feel that we are approaching a major war. Countries are preparing for war, with Russia and China at the forefront, and Japan starting its own re-militarization program. According to the Strauss-Howe theory, 2017 is equivalent to 1933 (when Hitler got in charge and started rebuilding Germany’s army), 1854 (when the prospect of an American Civil War felt more and more imminent), and 1779 (the middle of the American Revolutionary War against Britain, and the year of the French Revolution). Needless to say, right now we are living in very interesting times.

Many on the Left compare President Trump to Hitler. What they don’t realize realize (or knowingly ignore) is that Abraham Lincoln and George Washington too rose during similar eras, meaning that Trump might have as much chance to be like these men as to be like Hitler. Comparing people to Hitler has been an old tactic of the Left, and it is losing its power fast.

Slurs like “racist”, “bigoted”, “backward”, “homophobe”, “sexist” come in fashion as feminism rises (in the present area, starting from the 1960’s), and, what the Left doesn’t realize, is that they go out of fashion as masculinism rises (tides will turn around 2021). Using white guilt to make America’s whites vote for incompetent and out-of-touch people like Obama and Clinton is not going to work anymore. That is over. That works in the fall and early winter of the saeculum, but from midwinter and on, a new political culture is established.

The slurs of the new political culture, the culture that rises with the rise of masculinism, and which will last into the middle of the next Awakening around 2050, are going to be “unpatriotic”, “un-American”, “degenerate”, perhaps “homosexual”, and perhaps “blood traitor”, for whites who don’t act in the best interests of other whites. “Blood traitor” is already commonly used by blacks and Jews (not exactly in those words of course), it is only whites who, so far, are not allowed to use it. But that is going to change. And when that happens, vast quantities of popcorn would be in demand as we all watch the vast zombie behemoth of the Left collapse. And, it’s already happening.

On the other hand, the Right may not realize that it is not picnic time yet, and probably won’t be for a long time. A lot of suffering might be in store for everyone. Just because Trump is (or seems to be) well-meaning doesn’t mean it is going to end well. Abraham Lincoln was well-meaning, and he single-handedly plunged the country into the world’s bloodiest war up to that time, a war that might have been prevented by someone less radical and less well-meaning.

As for World War III, we can only hope that the third one will be charm.

The Fourth Turning ends with this beautiful poem from the Old Testament that seems to express the idea of the saeculum, whether intentional or otherwise.

To every thing there is a season,
and a time to every purpose under heaven:
a time to be born, and a time to die;
a time to plant, and a time to pluck up that which is planted;
a time to kill, and a time to heal;
a time to break down, and time to build up;
a time to weep, and a time to laugh;
a time to mourn, and a time to dance;
a time to cast away stones, and a time to gather stones together;
a time to embrace, and a time to refrain from embracing;
a time to get, and a time to lose;
a time to keep, and a time to cast away;
a time to rend, and a time to sew;
a time to keep silent, and a time to speak;
a time to love, and a time to hate;
a time of war, and a time of peace.
– Ecclesiastes 3.1-8

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